SARO
SARO INTELLIGENCE CENTER
India External Country Threat Matrix
LIVE MONITORING
Critical Threats
02
High Risk
03
Medium Risk
05
Low Risk
02
๐ก๏ธ Strategic Threat Assessment Matrix
| Priority | Country | Intelligence Focus | Threat Category | Risk Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ๐จ๐ณChina |
Border security, military modernization, cyber espionage, maritime expansion, influence operations | MilitaryCyberStrategic |
๐ด Critical |
| 02 | ๐ต๐ฐPakistan |
Cross-border terrorism, proxy organizations, infiltration, radicalization | TerrorismMilitary |
๐ด Critical |
| 03 | ๐ฒ๐ฒMyanmar |
Insurgent movement, arms trafficking, narcotics, illegal migration | Border Security |
๐ High |
| 04 | ๐ง๐ฉBangladesh |
Illegal migration, transnational crime, border management, extremist monitoring | Border & Internal Security |
๐ High |
| 05 | ๐ฆ๐ซAfghanistan |
Terrorist ecosystem, extremist organizations, regional instability | Terrorism |
๐ High |
| 06 | ๐ณ๐ตNepal |
Open-border crime, fake currency, foreign influence, smuggling | Border Intelligence |
๐ก Medium |
| 07 | ๐ฑ๐ฐSri Lanka |
Indian Ocean security, strategic infrastructure, maritime competition | Maritime Security |
๐ก Medium |
| 08 | ๐ฒ๐ปMaldives |
Maritime domain awareness, external strategic influence | Maritime Security |
๐ก Medium |
| 09 | ๐ฎ๐ทIran |
Energy security, maritime chokepoints, regional conflict impact | Energy & Maritime |
๐ก Medium |
| 10 | ๐ฐ๐ตNorth Korea |
Missile proliferation, cyber capabilities | Strategic Intelligence |
๐ก Medium |
| 11 | ๐ท๐บRussia |
Defence supply-chain risks, geopolitical developments | Strategic Monitoring |
๐ข Low |
| 12 | ๐บ๐ธUnited States |
Technology controls, sanctions policy, Indo-Pacific strategic developments | Geopolitical Intelligence |
๐ข Low |
